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Monday, July 5, 2010

Info Post
Although it's hard to read the graph, it certainly is easy to see that Obama's numbers have been suffering in the Daily Gallup from the graph below:


Here are the hard numbers from the end of May until now (Date, Approve, Disapprove):

"May 29-Jun 1, 2010,50,44"
"May 30-Jun 2, 2010,49,45"
"Jun 1-3, 2010,48,45"
"Jun 2-4, 2010,46,47"
"Jun 3-5, 2010,45,47"
"Jun 4-6, 2010,47,44"
"Jun 5-7, 2010,45,46"
"Jun 6-8, 2010,47,45"
"Jun 7-9, 2010,44,48"
"Jun 8-10, 2010,45,48"
"Jun 9-11, 2010,44,48"
"Jun 10-12, 2010,46,46"
"Jun 11-13, 2010,48,45"
"Jun 12-14, 2010,49,44"
"Jun 13-15, 2010,49,43"
"Jun 14-16, 2010,46,44"
"Jun 15-17, 2010,45,46"
"Jun 16-18, 2010,45,46"
"Jun 17-19, 2010,48,45"
"Jun 18-20, 2010,49,44"
"Jun 19-21, 2010,48,45"
"Jun 20-22, 2010,45,46"
"Jun 21-23, 2010,45,46"
"Jun 22-24, 2010,45,45"
"Jun 23-25, 2010,46,46"
"Jun 24-26, 2010,45,46"
"Jun 25-27, 2010,46,46"
"Jun 26-28, 2010,46,45"
"Jun 27-29, 2010,46,45"
"Jun 28-30, 2010,47,45"
"Jun 29-Jul 1, 2010,49,44"
"Jun 30-Jul 2, 2010,47,46"
"Jul 1-3, 2010,46,45"

..and while the numbers are susceptible to noise, plainly the lines are converging and, like Rasmussen, there will be a point where the Approval will cross over the Disapproval forever and then it's sayonara. (By the way, Gallup has a cool button on that page that allows you to download a .csv file of the hard numbers. If you don't know what a .csv file is, then you probably would not be interest in the hard numbers anyway.)

If I recall correctly, Gallup is among those polls who oversample in one category or another and, a while ago, Rush Limbaugh claimed it oversampled blacks to keep Obama's numbers high.

..no matter how thin you slice the baloney, if I am a president who's Rasmussen and Gallup were in the forties with a midterm election coming up, I am not going to be having my aides booking tee times for me.

..but then again.

UPDATE: Ask and ye shall receive. Weasel Zippers has a very recent post about Obama and Bush and black voters. Here's the clip:


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